Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 14.289012 16.172264 18.308830 20.933084 24.098327 27.830253 32.619633
2025-06-15 11.775818 14.121500 17.009448 20.896298 26.102795 33.008401 43.173102
2025-06-22 9.964824 12.367523 15.475808 19.907086 26.266401 35.415600 50.308938
2025-06-29 8.637808 10.989299 14.143258 18.837741 25.942855 36.852304 56.174964
2025-07-06 7.727386 10.035200 13.225788 18.153292 25.967235 38.691930 63.094461
2025-07-13 7.772985 10.385039 14.152277 20.285215 30.700530 49.250776 89.659634
2025-07-20 7.442159 10.147704 14.171476 20.983674 33.175335 56.493034 113.047280
2025-07-27 6.875958 9.503295 13.491863 20.426756 33.298569 59.205119 127.306533
2025-08-03 6.638526 9.331481 13.526775 21.073725 35.763317 67.422711 160.630720
2025-08-10 6.245746 8.883378 13.067769 20.779888 36.318249 71.564960 184.991946
2025-08-17 5.899486 8.481293 12.645731 20.495341 36.832786 75.764966 212.790046
2025-08-24 5.621875 8.168420 12.344489 20.395991 37.719666 81.190636 249.979880
2025-08-31 5.269143 7.723182 11.803072 19.819393 37.560984 84.125116 281.820516
2025-09-07 5.031827 7.453901 11.548367 19.782757 38.660580 91.136737 342.403177
2025-09-14 4.687074 6.981917 10.895552 18.864275 37.483092 90.901401 365.025464
2025-09-21 4.360874 6.523625 10.236871 17.869870 35.968640 89.200783 378.133295
2025-09-28 4.111009 6.182668 9.769729 17.232627 35.263154 90.024280 410.347812
2025-10-05 4.226903 6.477323 10.492534 19.215554 41.792702 119.273843 738.625861
2025-10-12 4.161308 6.447895 10.601194 19.863974 44.888052 137.901258 1075.928828
2025-10-19 3.965841 6.175129 10.219901 19.347002 44.488646 141.483028 1241.975255
2025-10-26 3.906979 6.145458 10.311761 19.947531 47.613732 163.425438 1908.552888
2025-11-02 3.759625 5.945946 10.051483 19.674848 47.945670 171.921567 2408.930140
2025-11-09 3.622735 5.759101 9.804884 19.410688 48.262554 180.743494 3083.997348